I'm probably an outlier on this, but I've started to believe that the DNC or whoever is making decisions doesn't want them to be in the White House beyond January. The reasons would derail, but I don't see it as their first choice. I think they'd have preferred Vance though, in an impotent administration mired with old guard Republicans oozing back to life. With no coherent successor to Trump, it would hamstring things. You could also argue that it would lionize the Republicans to a strong political movement, but I see where there's still plenty of rot in the core of that tree. I believe Vance would be elected, but be dragged into a war for the direction of the party with the old Republican guard.

I think the first attempt was the only legit attempt. I think things since have been people that thought they were working toward a real goal, but they're getting scooped up long before they get close. I don't think it's an accident. Somebody was working with them and I doubt whoever it was could be totally off the radar.

I don't really doubt that a sufficiently competent person could pull off a lot of the stuff these guys did. I just don't think any of these guys were sufficiently competent to do these things themselves. Some of it they obviously had help with, knowing schedules, obtaining documents, and going places they should have been out of place. Individually these things are plausible for somebody to pull off, but when you start adding them up it's not just anybody that has all those skills. I'm sure figuring out who exactly was helping them would be like playing grab ass in a room full of career confidential informants or some other kind of dark money profiteers. I doubt they'll sniff too far down those money trails.

I don't really know anything about this third guy except the basics, but we'll see.

So far we've got some incel kid that that was so crazy he was able to be convinced he could easily walk into a place with a ladder and rifle to take a shot at a nominee (yeah, crazy doesn't always mean wrong). Then some weird menial wage guy that had been convinced he was a mercenary recruiter being sent all over the place. The Starbucks warlord.

I'm not sure if it's true, but I'm seeing that this third guy was a sovereign citizen. If so, I think the trend I'm observing is on track. I wonder how many more loons they have drying on a line somewhere waiting for their turn? It doesn't look to me that any of these guys since the first were give much help when they really needed it in the final dash to the finish. Crooks got a pass and failed, but these guys aren't getting red carpets. The second two are also still alive, which probably means they can't implicate anybody that's powerful enough to matter.

Someday maybe one of your grandkids will see a declassified memo that gives the whole story, if you're raising them to be crazy conspiracy theorists. I'm not counting on getting a straight story on this in my lifetime.